Math time

So Tuesdays Indiana and North Carolina primaries have come and gone and Obama won big time. Even though he narrowly lost in Indiana, his blowout win in NC actually ended up completely erasing Hillary's gains in Pennsylvania. In fact he is further ahead now in both delegate count and popular vote than he was the day before PA's primary. So where does this leave us now? Lets throw out some numbers here.

The total number of delegates needed to win the nomination as of right now are 2025. Right now Obama has 1846 and Hillary has 1685.

There are 6 more primaries left that will award 237 pledged delegates, and there are still 276 undecided Superdelegates. Superdelegates are senior party members that are allowed to vote for whoever they want, and their purpose is to vote for who they think has the best chance of winning the General Election in November.

So that means there are 513 delegates left to get, and in order for Obama to carry the nomination he only needs to get 179 of them, or roughly 35% of the remaining delegates. Hillary of course needs to get about 65% of the rest to carry the nomination.

Now consider than if current polling holds up the remaining pledged delegates will be split about 50-50. So that will then make it about 1964-1804 for Obama.

That means that Obama would only need 61 of the remaining 276 Superdelegates to clinch the nomination, or a mere 22% of the remaining undecided's.

So as you can see the race is pretty much over at this point, and I've already put myself in General Election mode. Oh Hillary will no doubt drag it all the way to the Convention in August, but I hope the Superdelegates are wise enough not to let that happen.