Sunday, June 1, 2008

New election math

Yesterday the Democratic National Convention's Rules and Bylaws committee met to decide what to do about the delegates from Florida and Michigan. Late last year those two states violated party rules by moving up their primaries to January and the DNC stripped them of all their delegates.

Being that this is such a close race, and that the Democratic party doesn't want to disenfranchise the voters from those states, they met yesterday to decide if they should allow the delegates to be sat at the convention. After a full day of listening to arguments and proposals they decided to fully seat both states delegates, but they will only be given half a vote instead of a full vote.

So the final tally from this decision gave Hillary 87 votes and Obama recieved 63 votes. This still means that Obama is the clear front runner and pretty much put the nail in the coffin for Hillary. Now 2118 delegates are needed to win the nomination, with Obama currently leading 2051-1877. If the results of the final three primaries reflect the polls it will leave Obama roughly 20 delegates shy of clinching the nomination, and I expect the Superdelegates to move quickly to end the fight.

So unless some kind of miracle happens (ie Clinton steals the nomination using lawyers and the courts) Obama is going to win the nomination, and hopefully the Presidency. Its was a good day for America, a step in the right direction to restoring our reputation with the rest of the world.

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