More political ranting

Man I'll tell you, the Mass Media of this country is trying really hard to make this actually seem like a close election. Every headline today was all about how McCain is catching up, and how Obama is starting to lose, blah blah blah. Look, its all bullshit. This election isn't close at all, not by a long shot.

http://electoral-vote.com/

This is my favorite polling site, and it is probably the most accurate one I've ever seen. It updates daily with State by State polls, ya know the ones that actually matter. Well as of August 19th Obama has a 275-250 lead, his lowest lead yet. Lets break it down further though.

1. You need 270 Electoral votes to win the election
2. I'm going to assume that a 5%+ lead in the polls will hold up, considering it has always been that way. Any states with smaller margins I will call Swing States
3. There has been less fluctuation in polls this year than ever before

If you look at the states Obama has a 5%+ lead and count up the votes he will have 250 Electoral votes. The next biggest lead he holds is in Minnesota, which has 10 votes, and that state has only once ever voted Republican and won't do it again this year. So that gives Obama 260 votes that he is practically guaranteed to win.

Looking at that map you will notice that there are 12 Swing States currently with a total of 113 votes up for grabs. Obama simply needs to get 10 of these 113 votes to win the election. There are a total of 5 states that have more than that by themselves.

What does this all mean? It means that McCain has to basically win every single swing state to become President, and the likelyhood of that happening is about as likely as me soloing Absolute Virtue on my level 1 Scholar. Don't believe the shit networks are spewing about this being a close race, look at the facts and realize it never was and never will be.

Anyway my updated prediction for how the race will end up has Obama winning 306-232 and winning the popular vote by 5%.