VP Debate

So last night was the one and only Vice Presidential debate between Joe Biden and Sarah Palin. Biden was the heavy favorite coming in and didn't disappoint. He won a decisive victory against Palin, who seemed lost half the time, although Palin did exceed my expectations. Of course the only possible way she couldn't have is if she drooled at the camera the whole time, but I digress.

Biden stuck to the facts throughout, while Palin just kept repeating Republican talking points over and over, and trying to "charm" the audience with her down home, soccer mom appeal. It worked somewhat since most everyone agreed she did better than expected, but mostly everyone (except hardcore Republicans) felt she was beaten handily. Regardless I doubt this debate will affect the outcome in any way.

Now that its finally October, and we are just over 1 month till Election Day, I went back to looking at the polls. I knew the Dems were pulling ahead a bit, but damn even I didn't expect this much of a push.

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

According to my favorite polling site Obama is currently enjoying a 338-185 lead, with one state tied. With the recent news that McCain has pulled out of Michigan it means that Obama will almost certainly win the Kerry states (252 votes), and with huge and widening leads in New Mexico and Iowa, will win 264 votes. This means that McCain has to sweep the swing states to win the election, period. He has no wiggle room at all, he must win them all.

Speaking of swing states, as I predicted a few weeks back, Obama has pulled ahead in Florida and will in my opinion win the state, giving him the election. He has also pulled ahead in Ohio and I also believe that our economic woes will give Obama the win there. Its looking more and more like Obama will win in a landslide this year, and I can't wait till November.